When to Sell Part 2? Hang Seng Crash on November?

It is interesting to study Hang Seng History as we do have the complete set of data of indicating PE and dividend yield.



I have notice one IMPORTANT things, with PE more than 20 and dividend yield less than or equal 2% at certain month, then market will be collapse/ or having big correction after that particular months.

This rules have been proven on 1973, 1987, 1994, 2000 year where they only have big bull run with low dividend yield.

Hang Seng has enter into November with October month PE more than 20 and and dividend yield less than 2%. This is a WARNING.

Plan : Sell all shares at next week. ( Good day on 31 October )

1973 Feb PE 38.1 Dividend yield 1.87
March PE 31.69 Dividend yield 2.23

1987 September PE 22.35 Dividend yield 1.93
October PE 12.31 Dividend yield 3.48

1994 Jan PE 21.82 Dividend yield 2.07
Feb PE 19.68 Dividend yield 2.28
March PE 15.08 Dividend yield 2.89

2000 Feb PE 26.18 Dividend yield 1.88
March PE 12.33 Dividend yield 2.05

2007 September PE 21.18 Dividend yield 2.04
October PE >21 ( 资料还没出来。不过肯定高过 21 ) Dividend yield < 2.04% ( 资料还没出来。不过肯定底过2%)
November PE ? Dividend yield ?


这只是预测，从hang seng 历史发现的， 我也是希望不会发生。在hang seng历史， 只要PE > 20 和 dividend yield <>21 ( 资料还没出来。不过肯定高过 21 ) Dividend yield <>20 和 dividend yield <>20 和 dividend yield < 2% , 不知中国老有没有本事帮香港逃过这一决?我不敢跟历史作对。只要11月一到， 把所有股卖了。老话一句， 买卖自负。 11 月 股市升更高的话不要怪我。